ALSYS

Statistical Model for the Occurrence of Typhoid Fever in Takum, Taraba State, Nigeria: An Arima Model Approach

2024-08-24T00:58:22+00:00

This study analyzes Typhoid Fever incidence at General Hospital Takum from 2012 to 2021 using ARIMA model. The initial data was non-stationary, necessitating differencing to achieve stationarity. The ARIMA (4,1,1) model, selected based on AIC, AICC, and BIC criteria, showed parameters within stationarity and invertibility constraints. Diagnostic tests validated the model's robustness, with Box-Ljung (Chi-Square = 6.7435, p = 0.7598), Shapiro-Wilk (W = 0.9754, p = 0.1213), and ARCH-LM (Chi-Square = 5.8762, p = 0.8176) results supporting its adequacy. Forecasts for the next 24 months indicate a significant upward trend in Typhoid Fever cases. The study recommends among others a regular update to the model with new data to ensure accuracy, consideration of additional variables that may influence Typhoid Fever trends, and implementation of targeted public health interventions based on forecasted trends to mitigate the rising incidence.

Pemanfaatan Liveworksheet sebagai E-LKPD dalam Meningkatkan Hasil Belajar PAI Tingkat Sekolah Dasar

2024-08-31T12:29:50+00:00

There are significant differences in the implementation of the independent curriculum between urban and rural areas, especially in 3T areas. These differences start with teacher performance and extend to all aspects of education, including learning administration, teaching methods, and the way teachers assess, especially based on student learning outcomes. The aim of this research is to determine the use of live worksheets as E-LKPD in improving PAI learning outcomes at the elementary school level. This exploration uses a quantitative methodology with a pre-experimental configuration using a One Gathering Pretest-Posttest design. Based on the results of data analysis and questionnaires, the average student response to the use of live worksheets as E-LKPD in improving PAI learning outcomes was 79% in the practical category. Apart from that, the Paired Sample T-Test shows differences in PAI subjects before and after using E-LKPD, with an average score of 64.63 percent which is in the quite effective category and the significance level is below 0.05 or 0.001.

Kontribusi Harapan Orang Tua terhadap Kecenderungan Stres Akademik Siswa Kelas XII SMA Negeri di Kota Padang

2024-09-03T09:34:26+00:00

The purpose of this study was to determine the Contribution of Parental Expectations to the Tendency of Academic Stress of Class XII State High School Students in Padang City. Data were collected with the Parental Expectations Scale and Academic Stress from 259 samples. Sample selection using propotional random sampling technique. Data analysis used is simple linear regression analysis. With the results of p value = 0.000 (p <0.05). This shows that there is a Contribution of Parental Expectations to Academic Stress of Class XII High School Students in Padang City. The coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.068, this shows that parental expectations have a contribution of 6.8% to academic stress. The constant value obtained is 49.831. it can be interpreted that if parental expectations are worth 0 (constant), then academic stress is worth 49.733. The regression coefficient value of the parental expectations variable is positive (+) of 0.297, it means that, if parental expectations increase, academic stress will increase, and vice versa.

Pengaruh Interaksi Sosial terhadap Kemampuan Emosi Anak Usia Dini di Raudhatul Athfal Tunas Kualuh Kecamatan Kualuh Hilir Kabupaten Labuhanbatu Utara

2024-09-18T09:11:40+00:00

This study aims to determine the effect of social interaction on the emotional abilities of early childhood in Raudhatul Athfal Tunas Kualuh, Kualuh Hilir District, North Labuhanbatu Regency and identify the effect of social interaction on children's emotional abilities. This type of research is descriptive quantitative research, the population in this study involved 30 respondents and respondents using instruments that were tested for validity and reliability of sampling techniques using probability techniques, data collection instruments using observation and documentation. As for the formulation of the problem, namely how is the social interaction of children in RA Tunas Kualuh, how is the emotional ability of children in RA Tunas Kualuh, and is there an influence of social interaction on children's emotional abilities in RA Tunas Kualuh? The data analysis techniques used are normality test, and homogeneity test and hypothesis test (T test). Based on the results of the study that the validity test shows that the instruments for social interaction variables (X1) and emotional abilities (Y2) are valid and reliable. Normality test with Kolmogorov-Smirnov shows that the data is normally distributed (Asymp.Sig. = 0.370). The homogeneity test showed that the variance between groups was homogeneous (Sig = 0.517). The results of the hypothesis test (T test) indicated that social interaction has a significant influence on children's emotional abilities (Sig = 0.000), with a Beta coefficient of -0.723. This study concluded that social interaction plays a significant role in influencing children's emotional abilities in RA Tunas Kualuh, with the instruments used being valid and reliable. Thus Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted that social interaction does have a significant influence on children's emotional abilities.